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[Football- Spain 'La Liga'] 20.1/ 19:00 Getafe- Granada

Posted: 20 Jan 2022 12:04
by MN
[Football- Spain 'La Liga'] 20.1/ 19:00 Getafe- Granada

You know the phrase "buy low, sell high"? I believe Getafe is a good example right now. They have played quite well lately, with only one loss in last 7 league matches, including an odds-defying 1-0 win against Real Madrid. In those 7 matches, they have 5 clean sheets. Their stock can't get much higher, so it's time to sell while they still have value.

I know Granada aren't world-beaters, but they shouldn't be this big of an underdog to a team sitting just a point above relegation. Furthermore, form or not, Getafe's offense is just awful, ranking dead last in both goals/game and xG/game, and most clean sheets against at 11. In their last 7, they've been shutout 4 times. They have the 3rd fewest shots on target/game and 3rd worst SoT conversion rate, so both few opportunities and low probability of converting any opportunities.

Granada themselves are in the middle of a 7-game unbeaten streak in the league, including an impressive 2-1 win against Atlético. And unlike Getafe, Granada doesn't struggle for goals, having been shutout only 5 times all season, which is T-6th fewest.

Getafe has scored 2+ goals only twice all season. If Granada scores just one goal, that should be good enough for at least a draw. While their defense is below average, against Getafe's toothless attack.

X2 @1,90 Bwin

FT 4:2