[Football- Germany '3. Bundesliga'] 29.1/ 14:00 FC Kaiserslautern- Hallescher FC

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Zlatko
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[Football- Germany '3. Bundesliga'] 29.1/ 14:00 FC Kaiserslautern- Hallescher FC

Post by Zlatko » 29 Jan 2022 12:32

[Football- Germany '3. Bundesliga'] 29.1/ 14:00 FC Kaiserslautern- Hallescher FC

Reasoning: Kaiserslautern (3rd place) is currently the team with least goals allowed in the league (13 total, 0.5 per game, 0.25 in the last 8 games), at home they have conceded only 3 goals in the last 22 matches; in all their winning games they have won 9 times with a margin of more than 1 goal and only 2 with a margin of 1 goal, the average of goals scored is 1.55 and 1.82 at home, Hallescher instead is the third team for conceded goals (34 total, 1.6 per game), however of the 9 games that they lost since the league started only 3 ended with a margin of more than one goal (which is why I opted for -0.75 handicap). Kaiserslautern is in great form, currently 9 games unbeaten and only lost one of their last 15, while Hallescher, on the contrary, is in a really bad form, they haven't won a match in the last 8. All this data screams a Kaiserslautern win, a draw shouldn't happen, and if everything goes as planned Hallescher shouldn't even score a single goal. Looking at the past h2h (2 in the last year) we see a scary 1-0 win for Hallescher, but at the time they were slightly favored by the bookies, and a 3-1 win for Kaiserslautern. For reference Kaiserslautern recently lost only 1-0 against the top team of the league and won 0-2 against 2nd placed one. So, I expect an easy match for home, which can win-to-nil and score, hopefully, 3 goals without sweating it.

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